Scouting Report
Jesse Winchester holds a +13.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Winchester on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Adams wins 40.0% vs right-shot opponents — Winchester shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Adams 43.2% vs Winchester 54.7% (-13.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Adams 70.9%
Defensive zone
Adams 75.1%
Neutral zone
Adams 74.8%
Result
Craig Adams favored at 72.6%
72.6%
27.4%
Adams
Winchester
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Adams
Winchester
Last 5: Adams 1-4 Winchester
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Winchester
1
2
Adams
Winchester
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Winchester
0
2
Adams
Winchester
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Adams
Winchester
Edge
Even Strength
44.3% (280)
56.1% (469)
-11.8%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
41.7% (12)
+8.3%
Penalty Kill
38.3% (175)
57.4% (61)
-19.1%
On penalty kill, Winchester has a +19.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Winchester shoots right. Adams is 40.0% vs right-shot opponents (130).
Adams shoots right. Winchester is 57.5% vs right-shot opponents (167).
Home / Away
Adams
Winchester
Home
37.1% (213)
56.9% (299)
Away
45.6% (252)
54.1% (246)
By Period
Adams
Winchester
P1
46.6%
49.7%
P2
35.8%
59.8%
P3
43.0%
56.4%
OT
100.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
39.6%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Adams
42.0%▼
45.0%
41.7%
Winchester
44.0%▼
50.5%
55.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2011 | 3 | 02:44 | Offensive | Jesse Winchester |
| Dec 26, 2010 | 3 | 03:50 | Defensive | Jesse Winchester |
| Dec 26, 2010 | 1 | 02:07 | Offensive | Craig Adams |
| Dec 26, 2010 | 1 | 02:03 | Defensive | Jesse Winchester |
| Nov 26, 2010 | 2 | 11:16 | Offensive | Jesse Winchester |