Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +10.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). Adams wins 45.5% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Adams 44.5% vs Tavares 54.4% (-10.4%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 14-9 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 52.7%
Defensive zone
Adams 87.5%
Neutral zone
Adams 78.0%
Result
Craig Adams favored at 70.2%
70.2%
29.8%
Adams
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
14
(23 meetings)
9
14
Adams
Tavares
Last 10: Adams 5-5 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
7
Adams
Tavares
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Adams
6
1
Adams
Tavares
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
6
Adams
Tavares
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Adams
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (632)
54.0% (15,885)
-6.7%
Power Play
50.0% (6)
56.5% (4,221)
-6.5%
Penalty Kill
39.1% (386)
50.7% (612)
-11.6%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Adams is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (704).
Adams shoots right. Tavares is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (7,429).
Home / Away
Adams
Tavares
Home
42.0% (488)
56.1% (10,389)
Away
45.8% (546)
52.7% (10,358)
By Period
Adams
Tavares
P1
46.5%
55.1%
P2
40.5%
54.1%
P3
45.5%
54.0%
OT
50.0%
56.0%
Final 5 min
42.2%
54.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Adams
42.0%▼
45.0%
44.0%
Tavares
52.0%▼
57.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2014 | 3 | 12:25 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 30, 2013 | 3 | 16:38 | Defensive | Craig Adams |
| Mar 30, 2013 | 3 | 08:46 | Defensive | Craig Adams |
| Mar 30, 2013 | 2 | 19:27 | Defensive | Craig Adams |
| Mar 30, 2013 | 2 | 16:23 | Defensive | Craig Adams |
| Mar 30, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Craig Adams |
| Feb 5, 2013 | 3 | 13:32 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 5, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Jan 29, 2013 | 2 | 16:05 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 29, 2012 | 2 | 06:40 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 29, 2012 | 1 | 09:09 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 29, 2012 | 1 | 05:11 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 10, 2011 | 1 | 09:56 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 10, 2011 | 1 | 01:31 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 10, 2011 | 1 | 01:44 | Defensive | Craig Adams |
| Nov 21, 2011 | 3 | 11:50 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 8, 2011 | 3 | 18:22 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 11, 2011 | 1 | 19:46 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 2, 2011 | 2 | 18:43 | Defensive | Craig Adams |
| Feb 2, 2011 | 2 | 12:54 | Offensive | John Tavares |