Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Adams wins 46.8% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Adams 46.4% vs Tavares 51.2% (-6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 51.1%
Defensive zone
Adams 89.0%
Neutral zone
Adams 72.0%
Result
Craig Adams favored at 66.9%
66.9%
33.1%
Adams
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Adams
Tavares
Last 7: Adams 1-6 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
3
Adams
Tavares
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Adams
Tavares
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
2
Adams
Tavares
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Adams
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (170)
51.5% (1,232)
-0.3%
Penalty Kill
37.3% (118)
36.7% (30)
+0.6%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Adams is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (188).
Adams shoots right. Tavares is 46.5% vs right-shot opponents (501).
Home / Away
Adams
Tavares
Home
45.8% (131)
52.8% (781)
Away
44.7% (161)
49.9% (804)
By Period
Adams
Tavares
P1
46.4%
52.8%
P2
48.2%
52.1%
P3
42.1%
48.7%
OT
0.0%
63.6%
Final 5 min
46.8%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Adams
42.0%▼
45.0%
45.2%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2012 | 2 | 06:40 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 29, 2012 | 1 | 09:09 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 29, 2012 | 1 | 05:11 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 10, 2011 | 1 | 09:56 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 10, 2011 | 1 | 01:31 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 10, 2011 | 1 | 01:44 | Defensive | Craig Adams |
| Nov 21, 2011 | 3 | 11:50 | Offensive | John Tavares |