Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +11.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Adams wins 45.5% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Adams 44.5% vs Staal 55.3% (-11.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Adams 61.8%
Defensive zone
Adams 66.9%
Neutral zone
Adams 66.9%
Result
Craig Adams favored at 66.1%
66.1%
33.9%
Adams
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Adams
Staal
Last 6: Adams 2-4 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
1
Adams
Staal
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Adams
Staal
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
1
2
Adams
Staal
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Adams
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (632)
55.9% (14,620)
-8.6%
Power Play
50.0% (6)
62.7% (1,745)
-12.7%
Penalty Kill
39.1% (386)
48.0% (2,896)
-8.9%
On power play, Staal has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Adams is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (704).
Adams shoots right. Staal is 58.8% vs right-shot opponents (6,553).
Home / Away
Adams
Staal
Home
42.0% (488)
56.4% (9,663)
Away
45.8% (546)
54.3% (9,663)
By Period
Adams
Staal
P1
46.5%
55.2%
P2
40.5%
55.9%
P3
45.5%
54.9%
OT
50.0%
56.2%
Final 5 min
42.2%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Adams
42.0%▼
45.0%
44.0%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2013 | 3 | 18:48 | Neutral | Craig Adams |
| Apr 27, 2013 | 1 | 08:33 | Defensive | Craig Adams |
| Apr 27, 2013 | 1 | 02:14 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 9, 2013 | 3 | 12:05 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 9, 2013 | 3 | 11:54 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 9, 2013 | 2 | 18:59 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |