Scouting Report
Craig Adams holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Adams wins 57.4% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Adams 51.0% vs Staal 50.1% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 58.8%
Defensive zone
Staal 52.5%
Neutral zone
Staal 57.0%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 55.6%
44.4%
55.6%
Adams
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Adams
Staal
Last 5: Adams 1-4 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
1
Adams
Staal
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Adams
Staal
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
0
2
Adams
Staal
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Adams
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
61.4% (57)
49.7% (662)
+11.7%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
61.2% (103)
-61.2%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (40)
44.3% (149)
-4.3%
On power play, Staal has a +61.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Adams is 57.4% vs left-shot opponents (68).
Adams shoots right. Staal is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (370).
Home / Away
Adams
Staal
Home
47.8% (46)
50.0% (446)
Away
55.8% (52)
50.2% (468)
By Period
Adams
Staal
P1
52.0%
50.0%
P2
38.2%
49.5%
P3
64.1%
50.5%
Final 5 min
54.5%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Adams
42.0%▼
45.0%
52.0%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2013 | 1 | 08:33 | Defensive | Craig Adams |
| Apr 27, 2013 | 1 | 02:14 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 9, 2013 | 3 | 12:05 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 9, 2013 | 3 | 11:54 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 9, 2013 | 2 | 18:59 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |