Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +12.1% FO% edge overall. Adams wins 46.8% vs left-shot opponents — Gaustad shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Adams 46.4% vs Gaustad 56.7% (-12.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gaustad 70.2%
Defensive zone
Gaustad 91.5%
Neutral zone
Gaustad 83.6%
Result
Paul Gaustad favored at 84.1%
15.9%
84.1%
Adams
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Adams
Gaustad
Last 5: Adams 4-1 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Adams
1
0
Adams
Gaustad
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Adams
2
0
Adams
Gaustad
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Adams
Gaustad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Adams
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (170)
57.8% (854)
-6.6%
Penalty Kill
37.3% (118)
55.1% (263)
-17.8%
On penalty kill, Gaustad has a +17.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Adams is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (188).
Adams shoots right. Gaustad is 56.3% vs right-shot opponents (416).
Home / Away
Adams
Gaustad
Home
45.8% (131)
61.3% (633)
Away
44.7% (161)
52.4% (517)
By Period
Adams
Gaustad
P1
46.4%
57.9%
P2
48.2%
55.3%
P3
42.1%
58.3%
OT
0.0%
64.3%
Final 5 min
46.8%
57.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Adams
42.0%▼
45.0%
45.2%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
57.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2011 | 2 | 04:39 | Defensive | Craig Adams |
| Dec 17, 2011 | 2 | 04:28 | Defensive | Craig Adams |
| Dec 17, 2011 | 1 | 10:10 | Neutral | Craig Adams |
| Dec 17, 2011 | 1 | 09:43 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 15, 2011 | 2 | 03:00 | Offensive | Craig Adams |