Scouting Report
Ryan Carter holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Adams wins 45.5% vs left-shot opponents — Carter shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Adams 44.5% vs Carter 49.8% (-5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 54.5%
Defensive zone
Adams 69.1%
Neutral zone
Carter 50.7%
Result
Craig Adams favored at 54.6%
54.6%
45.4%
Adams
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Adams
Carter
Last 6: Adams 3-3 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Adams
Carter
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
0
2
Adams
Carter
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Adams
2
0
Adams
Carter
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Adams
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (632)
50.1% (978)
-2.8%
Power Play
50.0% (6)
60.0% (15)
-10.0%
Penalty Kill
39.1% (386)
46.4% (138)
-7.3%
On power play, Carter has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots left. Adams is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (704).
Adams shoots right. Carter is 49.0% vs right-shot opponents (404).
Home / Away
Adams
Carter
Home
42.0% (488)
49.0% (506)
Away
45.8% (546)
50.3% (632)
By Period
Adams
Carter
P1
46.5%
50.5%
P2
40.5%
48.9%
P3
45.5%
50.0%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
42.2%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Adams
42.0%▼
45.0%
44.0%
Carter
50.0%▲
47.5%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2011 | 1 | 05:49 | Neutral | Craig Adams |
| Apr 2, 2011 | 3 | 10:49 | Offensive | Craig Adams |
| Apr 2, 2011 | 2 | 07:37 | Defensive | Ryan Carter |
| Mar 27, 2011 | 2 | 17:49 | Neutral | Craig Adams |
| Mar 27, 2011 | 2 | 08:56 | Offensive | Ryan Carter |
| Mar 27, 2011 | 2 | 05:34 | Defensive | Ryan Carter |