Scouting Report
Ryan Carter holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Adams wins 42.4% vs left-shot opponents — Carter shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Adams 43.2% vs Carter 50.5% (-8.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Adams 51.7%
Defensive zone
Adams 74.1%
Neutral zone
Adams 54.6%
Result
Craig Adams favored at 61.3%
61.3%
38.7%
Adams
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Adams
Carter
Last 5: Adams 2-3 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Adams
Carter
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
0
2
Adams
Carter
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Adams
1
0
Adams
Carter
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Adams
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
44.3% (280)
50.7% (404)
-6.4%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
57.1% (7)
-7.1%
Penalty Kill
38.3% (175)
50.0% (62)
-11.7%
On penalty kill, Carter has a +11.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots left. Adams is 42.4% vs left-shot opponents (335).
Adams shoots right. Carter is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (168).
Home / Away
Adams
Carter
Home
37.1% (213)
48.2% (220)
Away
45.6% (252)
52.7% (258)
By Period
Adams
Carter
P1
46.6%
53.2%
P2
35.8%
50.3%
P3
43.0%
48.7%
OT
100.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
39.6%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Adams
42.0%▼
45.0%
41.7%
Carter
50.0%▲
47.5%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2011 | 3 | 10:49 | Offensive | Craig Adams |
| Apr 2, 2011 | 2 | 07:37 | Defensive | Ryan Carter |
| Mar 27, 2011 | 2 | 17:49 | Neutral | Craig Adams |
| Mar 27, 2011 | 2 | 08:56 | Offensive | Ryan Carter |
| Mar 27, 2011 | 2 | 05:34 | Defensive | Ryan Carter |