Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on offensive-zone draws (92% H2H, 12 meetings). Adams wins 40.9% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Adams 44.5% vs Bozak 53.4% (-9.5%)
H2H factor
Bozak leads 14-2 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Adams 84.6%
Defensive zone
Adams 90.3%
Neutral zone
Adams 82.5%
Result
Craig Adams favored at 85.1%
85.1%
14.9%
Adams
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
14
(16 meetings)
2
14
Adams
Bozak
Last 10: Adams 1-9 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
1
11
Adams
Bozak
12 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Adams
Bozak
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
2
Adams
Bozak
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Adams
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (632)
53.7% (9,596)
-6.4%
Power Play
50.0% (6)
55.2% (1,990)
-5.2%
Penalty Kill
39.1% (386)
48.0% (1,094)
-8.9%
On penalty kill, Bozak has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Adams is 40.9% vs right-shot opponents (330).
Adams shoots right. Bozak is 56.0% vs right-shot opponents (4,312).
Home / Away
Adams
Bozak
Home
42.0% (488)
56.0% (6,333)
Away
45.8% (546)
51.0% (6,396)
By Period
Adams
Bozak
P1
46.5%
53.2%
P2
40.5%
52.8%
P3
45.5%
54.5%
OT
50.0%
52.9%
Final 5 min
42.2%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Adams
42.0%▼
45.0%
44.0%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2014 | 1 | 09:15 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 14, 2014 | 2 | 05:12 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 1 | 19:16 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 23, 2013 | 3 | 18:09 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 7, 2012 | 2 | 00:30 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 7, 2012 | 2 | 00:12 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 1, 2012 | 2 | 11:34 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 31, 2012 | 1 | 17:46 | Defensive | Craig Adams |
| Jan 31, 2012 | 1 | 09:33 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 2, 2011 | 2 | 17:30 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 2, 2011 | 2 | 00:48 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 26, 2011 | 2 | 07:13 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 26, 2011 | 2 | 06:56 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 8, 2010 | 2 | 10:15 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 8, 2010 | 2 | 10:10 | Offensive | Craig Adams |
| Oct 13, 2010 | 1 | 18:34 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |