Scouting Report
Vinny Prospal holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Prospal on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Adams wins 45.5% vs left-shot opponents — Prospal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Adams 44.5% vs Prospal 51.0% (-7.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Prospal 78.5%
Defensive zone
Adams 88.3%
Neutral zone
Adams 58.8%
Result
Vinny Prospal favored at 63.6%
36.4%
63.6%
Adams
Prospal
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Adams
Prospal
Last 5: Adams 2-3 Prospal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Prospal
1
2
Adams
Prospal
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Adams
Prospal
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Adams
Prospal
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (632)
49.3% (69)
-2.0%
Power Play
50.0% (6)
54.7% (86)
-4.7%
Penalty Kill
39.1% (386)
0.0% (1)
+39.1%
On penalty kill, Adams has a +39.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Prospal shoots left. Adams is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (704).
Adams shoots right. Prospal is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (54).
Home / Away
Adams
Prospal
Home
42.0% (488)
50.6% (89)
Away
45.8% (546)
52.9% (70)
By Period
Adams
Prospal
P1
46.5%
52.6%
P2
40.5%
52.4%
P3
45.5%
45.9%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
42.2%
48.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Adams
42.0%▼
45.0%
44.0%
Prospal
40.0%▼
51.6%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Craig Adams |
| Feb 13, 2011 | 2 | 14:04 | Offensive | Vinny Prospal |
| Feb 13, 2011 | 2 | 11:04 | Neutral | Vinny Prospal |
| Feb 13, 2011 | 2 | 04:00 | Offensive | Craig Adams |
| Feb 13, 2011 | 1 | 02:58 | Offensive | Vinny Prospal |