Scouting Report
Vinny Prospal holds a +12.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Prospal on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Adams wins 42.4% vs left-shot opponents — Prospal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Adams 43.2% vs Prospal 52.2% (-12.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Prospal 79.3%
Defensive zone
Adams 87.3%
Neutral zone
Adams 56.1%
Result
Vinny Prospal favored at 65.2%
34.8%
65.2%
Adams
Prospal
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Adams
Prospal
Last 5: Adams 2-3 Prospal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Prospal
1
2
Adams
Prospal
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Adams
Prospal
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Adams
Prospal
Edge
Even Strength
44.3% (280)
51.1% (45)
-6.8%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
56.3% (80)
-6.3%
On even strength, Prospal has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Prospal shoots left. Adams is 42.4% vs left-shot opponents (335).
Adams shoots right. Prospal is 57.1% vs right-shot opponents (42).
Home / Away
Adams
Prospal
Home
37.1% (213)
55.4% (74)
Away
45.6% (252)
51.9% (54)
By Period
Adams
Prospal
P1
46.6%
54.0%
P2
35.8%
52.0%
P3
43.0%
53.8%
OT
100.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
39.6%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Adams
42.0%▼
45.0%
41.7%
Prospal
40.0%▼
51.6%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Craig Adams |
| Feb 13, 2011 | 2 | 14:04 | Offensive | Vinny Prospal |
| Feb 13, 2011 | 2 | 11:04 | Neutral | Vinny Prospal |
| Feb 13, 2011 | 2 | 04:00 | Offensive | Craig Adams |
| Feb 13, 2011 | 1 | 02:58 | Offensive | Vinny Prospal |