Scouting Report
Zack Smith holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Adams on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Adams wins 45.5% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Adams 44.5% vs Smith 50.6% (-6.6%)
H2H factor
Adams leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Smith 85.5%
Defensive zone
Smith 69.4%
Neutral zone
Smith 76.9%
Result
Zack Smith favored at 79.4%
20.6%
79.4%
Adams
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
3
(11 meetings)
8
3
Adams
Smith
Last 10: Adams 7-3 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Adams
4
1
Adams
Smith
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Adams
2
0
Adams
Smith
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Adams
Smith
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Adams
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (632)
51.6% (5,265)
-4.3%
Power Play
50.0% (6)
51.2% (342)
-1.2%
Penalty Kill
39.1% (386)
45.3% (985)
-6.2%
On penalty kill, Smith has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Adams is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (704).
Adams shoots right. Smith is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,394).
Home / Away
Adams
Smith
Home
42.0% (488)
52.5% (3,289)
Away
45.8% (546)
48.7% (3,310)
By Period
Adams
Smith
P1
46.5%
49.9%
P2
40.5%
50.0%
P3
45.5%
51.9%
OT
50.0%
51.6%
Final 5 min
42.2%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Adams
42.0%▼
45.0%
44.0%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 22, 2013 | 3 | 11:41 | Defensive | Craig Adams |
| Feb 13, 2013 | 2 | 09:04 | Neutral | Craig Adams |
| Mar 24, 2012 | 3 | 19:37 | Offensive | Craig Adams |
| Mar 24, 2012 | 2 | 13:06 | Defensive | Craig Adams |
| Mar 24, 2012 | 2 | 02:43 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Dec 16, 2011 | 3 | 06:51 | Neutral | Craig Adams |
| Dec 16, 2011 | 3 | 06:45 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Dec 16, 2011 | 2 | 14:02 | Offensive | Craig Adams |
| Dec 16, 2011 | 1 | 18:32 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Dec 16, 2011 | 1 | 07:24 | Offensive | Craig Adams |
| Dec 16, 2011 | 1 | 01:59 | Offensive | Craig Adams |