Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Cunningham wins 55.9% vs right-shot opponents — Kesler shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cunningham 50.4% vs Kesler 56.0% (-5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kesler 51.5%
Defensive zone
Cunningham 54.4%
Neutral zone
Kesler 50.7%
Result
Craig Cunningham favored at 50.1%
50.1%
49.9%
Cunningham
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Cunningham
Kesler
Last 5: Cunningham 2-3 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cunningham
1
0
Cunningham
Kesler
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cunningham
1
0
Cunningham
Kesler
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
3
Cunningham
Kesler
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cunningham
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (112)
57.4% (1,185)
-8.3%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
58.0% (243)
-8.0%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (20)
49.2% (236)
+10.8%
On penalty kill, Cunningham has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Cunningham is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (34).
Cunningham shoots right. Kesler is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (589).
Home / Away
Cunningham
Kesler
Home
53.3% (105)
58.5% (793)
Away
41.9% (31)
54.3% (871)
By Period
Cunningham
Kesler
P1
54.8%
57.0%
P2
48.1%
55.4%
P3
51.2%
56.7%
OT
0.0%
54.8%
Final 5 min
54.3%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cunningham
52.0%▬
50.7%
50.7%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2015 | 2 | 09:30 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 3, 2015 | 2 | 06:11 | Defensive | Craig Cunningham |
| Mar 3, 2015 | 2 | 05:56 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 3, 2015 | 2 | 03:12 | Offensive | Craig Cunningham |
| Mar 3, 2015 | 2 | 00:26 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |