Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +17.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 50.8% vs Smith 38.2% (+17.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 53.5%
Defensive zone
Horvat 97.6%
Neutral zone
Horvat 84.8%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 90.2%
90.2%
9.8%
Horvat
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Horvat
Smith
Last 6: Horvat 5-1 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smith
0
1
Horvat
Smith
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
5
0
Horvat
Smith
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (1,079)
33.9% (177)
+18.8%
Power Play
59.3% (135)
30.8% (52)
+28.5%
Penalty Kill
39.8% (279)
0.0% (1)
+39.8%
On penalty kill, Horvat has a +39.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots right. Horvat is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (561).
Horvat shoots left. Smith is 30.9% vs left-shot opponents (181).
Home / Away
Horvat
Smith
Home
53.1% (723)
37.0% (119)
Away
48.8% (770)
28.8% (111)
By Period
Horvat
Smith
P1
51.1%
37.5%
P2
52.6%
32.5%
P3
48.8%
27.3%
OT
57.6%
100.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
29.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
50.9%
Smith
30.0%▼
44.0%
33.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2016 | 2 | 10:36 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 24, 2016 | 1 | 13:16 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 24, 2016 | 1 | 00:30 | Offensive | Craig Smith |
| Mar 12, 2016 | 3 | 12:36 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 12, 2016 | 2 | 19:13 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 12, 2016 | 2 | 11:40 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |