Scouting Report
Brendan Morrison holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Smith on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Morrison wins 37.6% vs right-shot opponents — Smith shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Morrison 49.6% vs Smith 45.2% (+5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Smith 77.7%
Defensive zone
Smith 58.9%
Neutral zone
Smith 63.1%
Result
Craig Smith favored at 67.3%
32.7%
67.3%
Morrison
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Morrison
Smith
Last 6: Morrison 2-4 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smith
0
2
Morrison
Smith
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Morrison
1
0
Morrison
Smith
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smith
1
2
Morrison
Smith
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Morrison
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (336)
44.9% (332)
+3.0%
Power Play
69.4% (36)
38.9% (54)
+30.5%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (21)
50.0% (6)
-7.1%
On power play, Morrison has a +30.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots right. Morrison is 37.6% vs right-shot opponents (109).
Morrison shoots left. Smith is 43.5% vs left-shot opponents (292).
Home / Away
Morrison
Smith
Home
55.1% (176)
46.1% (167)
Away
45.0% (218)
42.5% (226)
By Period
Morrison
Smith
P1
47.1%
42.1%
P2
56.0%
43.4%
P3
46.7%
47.0%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.7%
42.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Morrison
50.0%▲
44.5%
49.5%
Smith
30.0%▼
44.0%
44.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2011 | 1 | 01:13 | Offensive | Craig Smith |
| Oct 22, 2011 | 3 | 09:42 | Neutral | Craig Smith |
| Oct 22, 2011 | 2 | 00:43 | Defensive | Brendan Morrison |
| Oct 22, 2011 | 1 | 19:49 | Neutral | Craig Smith |
| Oct 22, 2011 | 1 | 15:32 | Neutral | Brendan Morrison |
| Oct 22, 2011 | 1 | 12:53 | Offensive | Craig Smith |