Scouting Report
Gustav Nyquist holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Smith wins 39.0% vs left-shot opponents — Nyquist shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 41.2% vs Nyquist 45.1% (-2.6%)
Offensive zone
Smith 65.7%
Defensive zone
Nyquist 65.8%
Neutral zone
Nyquist 51.1%
Result
Gustav Nyquist favored at 50.4%
49.6%
50.4%
Smith
Nyquist
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
Nyquist
Edge
Even Strength
40.8% (1,023)
42.4% (203)
-1.6%
Power Play
39.4% (198)
51.6% (31)
-12.2%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (9)
35.7% (14)
+8.7%
On power play, Nyquist has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nyquist shoots left. Smith is 39.0% vs left-shot opponents (920).
Smith shoots right. Nyquist is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (94).
Home / Away
Smith
Nyquist
Home
42.3% (556)
39.5% (129)
Away
39.1% (675)
47.1% (119)
By Period
Smith
Nyquist
P1
39.0%
40.6%
P2
42.1%
42.2%
P3
40.2%
46.0%
OT
75.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
40.8%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
30.0%▼
44.0%
40.5%
Nyquist
38.0%▼
43.0%
43.1%