Scouting Report
Jay McClement holds a +12.3% FO% edge overall. Look for McClement on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Smith wins 39.0% vs left-shot opponents — McClement shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 41.2% vs McClement 52.7% (-12.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Smith 97.5%
Defensive zone
McClement 50.7%
Neutral zone
Smith 84.7%
Result
Craig Smith favored at 83.9%
83.9%
16.1%
Smith
McClement
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Smith
McClement
Last 9: Smith 2-7 McClement
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McClement
2
3
Smith
McClement
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McClement
0
2
Smith
McClement
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McClement
0
2
Smith
McClement
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
McClement
Edge
Even Strength
40.8% (1,023)
54.4% (4,305)
-13.6%
Power Play
39.4% (198)
62.5% (104)
-23.1%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (9)
47.2% (1,440)
-2.8%
On power play, McClement has a +23.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McClement shoots left. Smith is 39.0% vs left-shot opponents (920).
Smith shoots right. McClement is 52.3% vs right-shot opponents (2,069).
Home / Away
Smith
McClement
Home
42.3% (556)
55.4% (2,788)
Away
39.1% (675)
50.4% (3,083)
By Period
Smith
McClement
P1
39.0%
53.5%
P2
42.1%
52.0%
P3
40.2%
53.2%
OT
75.0%
47.9%
Final 5 min
40.8%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
30.0%▼
44.0%
40.5%
McClement
48.0%▲
46.5%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2012 | 3 | 17:09 | Offensive | Jay McClement |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 3 | 12:14 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 3 | 02:14 | Offensive | Jay McClement |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 3 | 01:57 | Neutral | Jay McClement |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 1 | 08:09 | Neutral | Jay McClement |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 1 | 04:52 | Offensive | Craig Smith |
| Jan 12, 2012 | 1 | 09:12 | Offensive | Jay McClement |
| Jan 10, 2012 | 2 | 17:37 | Offensive | Craig Smith |
| Jan 10, 2012 | 2 | 05:06 | Defensive | Jay McClement |