Scouting Report
John Mitchell holds a +10.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Smith on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Smith wins 34.8% vs left-shot opponents — Mitchell shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 43.0% vs Mitchell 49.8% (-10.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Smith 63.3%
Defensive zone
Mitchell 61.8%
Neutral zone
Mitchell 52.0%
Result
John Mitchell favored at 51.8%
48.2%
51.8%
Smith
Mitchell
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Smith
Mitchell
Last 6: Smith 3-3 Mitchell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Smith
Mitchell
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
2
1
Smith
Mitchell
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mitchell
0
1
Smith
Mitchell
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
Mitchell
Edge
Even Strength
37.4% (163)
45.9% (231)
-8.5%
Power Play
48.6% (37)
52.2% (67)
-3.6%
On even strength, Mitchell has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mitchell shoots left. Smith is 34.8% vs left-shot opponents (155).
Smith shoots right. Mitchell is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (96).
Home / Away
Smith
Mitchell
Home
47.1% (68)
59.0% (134)
Away
35.6% (132)
43.8% (210)
By Period
Smith
Mitchell
P1
32.8%
48.0%
P2
42.0%
49.2%
P3
43.8%
50.9%
Final 5 min
42.2%
44.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
30.0%▼
44.0%
39.5%
Mitchell
66.0%▲
56.5%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2013 | 3 | 01:33 | Defensive | Craig Smith |
| Apr 2, 2013 | 2 | 12:53 | Offensive | Craig Smith |
| Apr 2, 2013 | 2 | 09:09 | Defensive | Craig Smith |
| Mar 30, 2013 | 3 | 11:52 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Mar 30, 2013 | 2 | 13:54 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Mar 30, 2013 | 1 | 01:21 | Offensive | John Mitchell |