Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (40.5% vs 41.3%). Smith wins 45.0% vs right-shot opponents — Eberle shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 41.2% vs Eberle 43.0% (-0.8%)
Offensive zone
Eberle 52.3%
Defensive zone
Eberle 55.5%
Neutral zone
Smith 52.2%
Result
Jordan Eberle favored at 51.9%
48.1%
51.9%
Smith
Eberle
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
Eberle
Edge
Even Strength
40.8% (1,023)
41.3% (351)
-0.5%
Power Play
39.4% (198)
40.4% (57)
-1.0%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (9)
50.0% (8)
-5.6%
On penalty kill, Eberle has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eberle shoots right. Smith is 45.0% vs right-shot opponents (311).
Smith shoots right. Eberle is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (125).
Home / Away
Smith
Eberle
Home
42.3% (556)
39.5% (195)
Away
39.1% (675)
43.0% (221)
By Period
Smith
Eberle
P1
39.0%
43.0%
P2
42.1%
35.3%
P3
40.2%
45.0%
OT
75.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
40.8%
41.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
30.0%▼
44.0%
40.5%
Eberle
38.0%▼
42.0%
41.3%