Scouting Report
Mark Letestu holds a +11.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Smith on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Smith wins 45.0% vs right-shot opponents — Letestu shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 41.2% vs Letestu 52.1% (-11.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Smith 56.2%
Defensive zone
Letestu 98.3%
Neutral zone
Letestu 87.6%
Result
Mark Letestu favored at 80.2%
19.8%
80.2%
Smith
Letestu
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Smith
Letestu
Last 9: Smith 6-3 Letestu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Letestu
0
2
Smith
Letestu
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
2
0
Smith
Letestu
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smith
4
1
Smith
Letestu
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
Letestu
Edge
Even Strength
40.8% (1,023)
53.3% (4,565)
-12.5%
Power Play
39.4% (198)
56.0% (687)
-16.6%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (9)
44.2% (1,005)
+0.2%
On power play, Letestu has a +16.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Letestu shoots right. Smith is 45.0% vs right-shot opponents (311).
Smith shoots right. Letestu is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (1,854).
Home / Away
Smith
Letestu
Home
42.3% (556)
54.0% (3,024)
Away
39.1% (675)
50.4% (3,249)
By Period
Smith
Letestu
P1
39.0%
51.5%
P2
42.1%
55.0%
P3
40.2%
49.8%
OT
75.0%
51.8%
Final 5 min
40.8%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
30.0%▼
44.0%
40.5%
Letestu
58.0%▲
54.5%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2018 | 1 | 06:04 | Neutral | Craig Smith |
| Apr 27, 2013 | 3 | 15:12 | Neutral | Mark Letestu |
| Apr 27, 2013 | 2 | 04:11 | Offensive | Mark Letestu |
| Apr 27, 2013 | 1 | 19:23 | Defensive | Craig Smith |
| Apr 27, 2013 | 1 | 17:08 | Offensive | Mark Letestu |
| Apr 4, 2013 | 2 | 14:00 | Defensive | Craig Smith |
| Nov 19, 2011 | 3 | 15:09 | Neutral | Craig Smith |
| Nov 19, 2011 | 3 | 14:52 | Neutral | Craig Smith |
| Nov 19, 2011 | 1 | 14:37 | Neutral | Craig Smith |