Scouting Report
Maxim Lapierre holds a +10.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Smith on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Smith wins 45.0% vs right-shot opponents — Lapierre shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 41.2% vs Lapierre 51.3% (-10.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Smith 93.5%
Defensive zone
Lapierre 88.4%
Neutral zone
Smith 58.4%
Result
Craig Smith favored at 59.7%
59.7%
40.3%
Smith
Lapierre
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Smith
Lapierre
Last 9: Smith 4-5 Lapierre
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smith
2
1
Smith
Lapierre
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lapierre
0
2
Smith
Lapierre
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Smith
Lapierre
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
Lapierre
Edge
Even Strength
40.8% (1,023)
52.9% (2,085)
-12.1%
Power Play
39.4% (198)
53.1% (32)
-13.7%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (9)
43.1% (415)
+1.3%
On power play, Lapierre has a +13.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lapierre shoots right. Smith is 45.0% vs right-shot opponents (311).
Smith shoots right. Lapierre is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (808).
Home / Away
Smith
Lapierre
Home
42.3% (556)
53.0% (1,250)
Away
39.1% (675)
49.8% (1,289)
By Period
Smith
Lapierre
P1
39.0%
52.5%
P2
42.1%
50.7%
P3
40.2%
51.1%
OT
75.0%
41.7%
Final 5 min
40.8%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
30.0%▼
44.0%
40.5%
Lapierre
56.0%▬
55.0%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2013 | 3 | 17:26 | Neutral | Craig Smith |
| Mar 14, 2013 | 2 | 07:42 | Defensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Mar 14, 2013 | 1 | 03:53 | Neutral | Maxim Lapierre |
| Feb 22, 2013 | 3 | 11:28 | Neutral | Craig Smith |
| Feb 22, 2013 | 2 | 16:30 | Offensive | Craig Smith |
| Feb 22, 2013 | 2 | 12:39 | Neutral | Maxim Lapierre |
| Feb 7, 2012 | 2 | 01:36 | Defensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Feb 7, 2012 | 1 | 09:50 | Offensive | Craig Smith |
| Dec 1, 2011 | 1 | 17:36 | Offensive | Maxim Lapierre |