Scouting Report
Mike Ribeiro holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Smith on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Smith wins 39.0% vs left-shot opponents — Ribeiro shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 41.2% vs Ribeiro 43.2% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Smith 52.6%
Defensive zone
Ribeiro 71.4%
Neutral zone
Ribeiro 64.7%
Result
Mike Ribeiro favored at 57.8%
42.2%
57.8%
Smith
Ribeiro
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Smith
Ribeiro
Last 5: Smith 4-1 Ribeiro
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smith
2
0
Smith
Ribeiro
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smith
2
1
Smith
Ribeiro
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
Ribeiro
Edge
Even Strength
40.8% (1,023)
42.9% (4,887)
-2.1%
Power Play
39.4% (198)
45.6% (930)
-6.2%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (9)
33.3% (147)
+11.1%
On penalty kill, Smith has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ribeiro shoots left. Smith is 39.0% vs left-shot opponents (920).
Smith shoots right. Ribeiro is 39.0% vs right-shot opponents (2,096).
Home / Away
Smith
Ribeiro
Home
42.3% (556)
44.1% (3,144)
Away
39.1% (675)
41.9% (2,837)
By Period
Smith
Ribeiro
P1
39.0%
42.6%
P2
42.1%
44.3%
P3
40.2%
41.8%
OT
75.0%
49.0%
Final 5 min
40.8%
41.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
30.0%▼
44.0%
40.5%
Ribeiro
34.0%▼
36.0%
43.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2012 | 1 | 18:22 | Neutral | Craig Smith |
| Feb 19, 2012 | 1 | 05:54 | Neutral | Craig Smith |
| Feb 19, 2012 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Jan 5, 2012 | 2 | 11:39 | Offensive | Craig Smith |
| Jan 5, 2012 | 1 | 03:40 | Offensive | Craig Smith |