Scouting Report
Craig Smith holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Smith on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Smith wins 43.5% vs left-shot opponents — Ribeiro shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 45.2% vs Ribeiro 43.1% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Smith 66.1%
Defensive zone
Smith 53.3%
Neutral zone
Smith 61.4%
Result
Craig Smith favored at 63.3%
63.3%
36.7%
Smith
Ribeiro
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Smith
Ribeiro
Last 5: Smith 4-1 Ribeiro
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smith
2
0
Smith
Ribeiro
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smith
2
1
Smith
Ribeiro
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
Ribeiro
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (332)
42.5% (624)
+2.4%
Power Play
38.9% (54)
42.2% (128)
-3.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
36.7% (49)
+13.3%
On penalty kill, Smith has a +13.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ribeiro shoots left. Smith is 43.5% vs left-shot opponents (292).
Smith shoots right. Ribeiro is 33.5% vs right-shot opponents (248).
Home / Away
Smith
Ribeiro
Home
46.1% (167)
44.3% (395)
Away
42.5% (226)
40.2% (413)
By Period
Smith
Ribeiro
P1
42.1%
36.5%
P2
43.4%
43.8%
P3
47.0%
45.6%
OT
50.0%
57.9%
Final 5 min
42.6%
33.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
30.0%▼
44.0%
44.0%
Ribeiro
34.0%▼
36.0%
42.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2012 | 1 | 18:22 | Neutral | Craig Smith |
| Feb 19, 2012 | 1 | 05:54 | Neutral | Craig Smith |
| Feb 19, 2012 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Jan 5, 2012 | 2 | 11:39 | Offensive | Craig Smith |
| Jan 5, 2012 | 1 | 03:40 | Offensive | Craig Smith |