Scouting Report
Patrik Berglund holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Berglund on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Smith wins 45.5% vs left-shot opponents — Berglund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 47.9% vs Berglund 50.0% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Smith 93.5%
Defensive zone
Berglund 53.0%
Neutral zone
Smith 72.0%
Result
Patrik Berglund favored at 53.0%
47.0%
53.0%
Smith
Berglund
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Smith
Berglund
Last 5: Smith 0-5 Berglund
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Berglund
0
5
Smith
Berglund
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
Berglund
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (95)
50.5% (982)
-5.2%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
55.7% (79)
-5.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
40.7% (108)
+9.3%
On penalty kill, Smith has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Berglund shoots left. Smith is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (88).
Smith shoots right. Berglund is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (470).
Home / Away
Smith
Berglund
Home
43.5% (62)
50.7% (548)
Away
49.0% (49)
49.3% (621)
By Period
Smith
Berglund
P1
44.1%
49.6%
P2
46.7%
50.5%
P3
45.2%
49.6%
OT
100.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
47.6%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
30.0%▼
44.0%
45.9%
Berglund
60.0%▲
57.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2016 | 3 | 16:44 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Dec 13, 2016 | 1 | 07:04 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Nov 19, 2016 | 2 | 07:52 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Nov 10, 2016 | 2 | 02:20 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Nov 10, 2016 | 1 | 01:10 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |