Scouting Report
Ryan Donato holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Smith wins 39.0% vs left-shot opponents — Donato shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 41.2% vs Donato 45.1% (-4.2%)
Offensive zone
Smith 64.8%
Defensive zone
Donato 68.3%
Neutral zone
Smith 51.4%
Result
Ryan Donato favored at 50.7%
49.3%
50.7%
Smith
Donato
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
Donato
Edge
Even Strength
40.8% (1,023)
44.4% (1,096)
-3.6%
Power Play
39.4% (198)
46.3% (240)
-6.9%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (9)
36.4% (11)
+8.0%
On penalty kill, Smith has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Donato shoots left. Smith is 39.0% vs left-shot opponents (920).
Smith shoots right. Donato is 44.3% vs right-shot opponents (492).
Home / Away
Smith
Donato
Home
42.3% (556)
47.7% (708)
Away
39.1% (675)
41.3% (639)
By Period
Smith
Donato
P1
39.0%
43.5%
P2
42.1%
45.4%
P3
40.2%
44.4%
OT
75.0%
77.8%
Final 5 min
40.8%
46.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
30.0%▼
44.0%
40.5%
Donato
60.0%▲
50.5%
44.7%