Scouting Report
Ryan Getzlaf holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Getzlaf on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Smith wins 45.0% vs right-shot opponents — Getzlaf shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 41.2% vs Getzlaf 49.8% (-9.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Smith 83.8%
Defensive zone
Getzlaf 84.6%
Neutral zone
Smith 57.2%
Result
Craig Smith favored at 50.4%
50.4%
49.6%
Smith
Getzlaf
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Smith
Getzlaf
Last 9: Smith 4-5 Getzlaf
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smith
3
1
Smith
Getzlaf
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Getzlaf
0
4
Smith
Getzlaf
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smith
1
0
Smith
Getzlaf
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
Getzlaf
Edge
Even Strength
40.8% (1,023)
49.6% (10,258)
-8.8%
Power Play
39.4% (198)
54.9% (1,381)
-15.5%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (9)
44.8% (1,055)
-0.4%
On power play, Getzlaf has a +15.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Getzlaf shoots right. Smith is 45.0% vs right-shot opponents (311).
Smith shoots right. Getzlaf is 55.8% vs right-shot opponents (3,584).
Home / Away
Smith
Getzlaf
Home
42.3% (556)
51.8% (6,270)
Away
39.1% (675)
47.8% (6,495)
By Period
Smith
Getzlaf
P1
39.0%
49.2%
P2
42.1%
50.4%
P3
40.2%
49.7%
OT
75.0%
49.1%
Final 5 min
40.8%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
30.0%▼
44.0%
40.5%
Getzlaf
54.0%▬
53.5%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2016 | 2 | 09:00 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Feb 27, 2013 | 3 | 02:52 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Feb 27, 2013 | 2 | 10:46 | Offensive | Craig Smith |
| Mar 18, 2012 | 3 | 02:59 | Offensive | Craig Smith |
| Mar 18, 2012 | 2 | 06:56 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Dec 10, 2011 | 3 | 14:56 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Dec 10, 2011 | 3 | 05:43 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Nov 9, 2011 | 2 | 16:31 | Offensive | Craig Smith |
| Nov 9, 2011 | 2 | 10:29 | Neutral | Craig Smith |