Scouting Report
Saku Koivu holds a +11.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Smith wins 39.0% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 41.2% vs Koivu 51.8% (-11.3%)
H2H factor
Koivu leads 12-5 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Smith 96.1%
Defensive zone
Smith 59.9%
Neutral zone
Smith 84.1%
Result
Craig Smith favored at 81.9%
81.9%
18.1%
Smith
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
12
(17 meetings)
5
12
Smith
Koivu
Last 10: Smith 1-9 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
2
3
Smith
Koivu
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
1
3
Smith
Koivu
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
2
6
Smith
Koivu
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
40.8% (1,023)
51.9% (3,221)
-11.1%
Power Play
39.4% (198)
59.3% (437)
-19.9%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (9)
48.0% (764)
-3.6%
On power play, Koivu has a +19.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Smith is 39.0% vs left-shot opponents (920).
Smith shoots right. Koivu is 52.0% vs right-shot opponents (1,337).
Home / Away
Smith
Koivu
Home
42.3% (556)
53.5% (2,281)
Away
39.1% (675)
50.1% (2,209)
By Period
Smith
Koivu
P1
39.0%
51.1%
P2
42.1%
52.6%
P3
40.2%
51.8%
OT
75.0%
52.3%
Final 5 min
40.8%
55.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
30.0%▼
44.0%
40.5%
Koivu
46.0%▼
50.0%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2014 | 1 | 09:18 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Feb 27, 2013 | 3 | 09:25 | Offensive | Craig Smith |
| Feb 27, 2013 | 3 | 06:50 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Feb 16, 2013 | 2 | 04:53 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Nov 9, 2011 | 3 | 01:01 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Nov 9, 2011 | 2 | 10:44 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Nov 9, 2011 | 2 | 00:59 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Nov 9, 2011 | 1 | 17:26 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Nov 9, 2011 | 1 | 13:51 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Nov 9, 2011 | 1 | 10:35 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Nov 9, 2011 | 1 | 04:42 | Offensive | Craig Smith |
| Nov 9, 2011 | 1 | 01:08 | Neutral | Craig Smith |
| Oct 29, 2011 | 2 | 15:43 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Oct 29, 2011 | 2 | 07:34 | Neutral | Craig Smith |
| Oct 29, 2011 | 2 | 07:22 | Defensive | Craig Smith |
| Oct 29, 2011 | 1 | 18:59 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Oct 29, 2011 | 1 | 12:55 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |