Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +13.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Smith wins 39.0% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 41.2% vs Crosby 53.5% (-13.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Smith 77.0%
Defensive zone
Crosby 60.7%
Neutral zone
Smith 74.3%
Result
Craig Smith favored at 57.7%
57.7%
42.3%
Smith
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Smith
Crosby
Last 6: Smith 2-4 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Smith
Crosby
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
2
Smith
Crosby
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
1
Smith
Crosby
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
40.8% (1,023)
52.8% (17,990)
-12.0%
Power Play
39.4% (198)
57.4% (4,733)
-18.0%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (9)
47.1% (765)
-2.7%
On power play, Crosby has a +18.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Smith is 39.0% vs left-shot opponents (920).
Smith shoots right. Crosby is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (8,656).
Home / Away
Smith
Crosby
Home
42.3% (556)
55.0% (11,972)
Away
39.1% (675)
52.0% (11,535)
By Period
Smith
Crosby
P1
39.0%
53.6%
P2
42.1%
53.9%
P3
40.2%
53.3%
OT
75.0%
49.6%
Final 5 min
40.8%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
30.0%▼
44.0%
40.5%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2012 | 3 | 14:15 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 22, 2012 | 3 | 13:50 | Offensive | Craig Smith |
| Mar 22, 2012 | 3 | 13:40 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 22, 2012 | 2 | 18:04 | Defensive | Craig Smith |
| Mar 22, 2012 | 2 | 02:32 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 22, 2012 | 1 | 01:44 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |