Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Smith wins 43.5% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 45.2% vs Crosby 50.1% (-6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Smith 68.6%
Defensive zone
Smith 65.0%
Neutral zone
Smith 66.4%
Result
Craig Smith favored at 66.4%
66.4%
33.6%
Smith
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Smith
Crosby
Last 6: Smith 2-4 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Smith
Crosby
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
2
Smith
Crosby
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
1
Smith
Crosby
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (332)
49.3% (335)
-4.4%
Power Play
38.9% (54)
54.7% (106)
-15.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
28.6% (7)
+21.4%
On penalty kill, Smith has a +21.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Smith is 43.5% vs left-shot opponents (292).
Smith shoots right. Crosby is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (158).
Home / Away
Smith
Crosby
Home
46.1% (167)
57.1% (240)
Away
42.5% (226)
42.3% (213)
By Period
Smith
Crosby
P1
42.1%
55.0%
P2
43.4%
46.3%
P3
47.0%
50.0%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
42.6%
57.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
30.0%▼
44.0%
44.0%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2012 | 3 | 14:15 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 22, 2012 | 3 | 13:50 | Offensive | Craig Smith |
| Mar 22, 2012 | 3 | 13:40 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 22, 2012 | 2 | 18:04 | Defensive | Craig Smith |
| Mar 22, 2012 | 2 | 02:32 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 22, 2012 | 1 | 01:44 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |