Scouting Report
Steve Ott holds a +15.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Ott on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Smith wins 39.0% vs left-shot opponents — Ott shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 41.2% vs Ott 55.4% (-15.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Smith 93.8%
Defensive zone
Ott 59.4%
Neutral zone
Smith 79.2%
Result
Craig Smith favored at 55.9%
55.9%
44.1%
Smith
Ott
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Smith
Ott
Last 6: Smith 1-5 Ott
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smith
1
0
Smith
Ott
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ott
0
4
Smith
Ott
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ott
0
1
Smith
Ott
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
Ott
Edge
Even Strength
40.8% (1,023)
57.2% (2,802)
-16.4%
Power Play
39.4% (198)
55.4% (567)
-16.0%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (9)
49.9% (853)
-5.5%
On even strength, Ott has a +16.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ott shoots left. Smith is 39.0% vs left-shot opponents (920).
Smith shoots right. Ott is 57.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,681).
Home / Away
Smith
Ott
Home
42.3% (556)
56.8% (2,130)
Away
39.1% (675)
54.2% (2,103)
By Period
Smith
Ott
P1
39.0%
56.7%
P2
42.1%
53.9%
P3
40.2%
55.7%
OT
75.0%
60.8%
Final 5 min
40.8%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
30.0%▼
44.0%
40.5%
Ott
60.0%▲
53.0%
55.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2014 | 1 | 07:33 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Feb 19, 2012 | 2 | 16:38 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Feb 19, 2012 | 1 | 19:09 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Feb 19, 2012 | 1 | 14:30 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Dec 23, 2011 | 3 | 10:27 | Offensive | Craig Smith |
| Dec 23, 2011 | 2 | 11:45 | Neutral | Steve Ott |