Scouting Report
Steve Ott holds a +11.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Ott on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Smith wins 43.5% vs left-shot opponents — Ott shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 45.2% vs Ott 55.0% (-11.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Smith 83.3%
Defensive zone
Smith 60.0%
Neutral zone
Smith 76.3%
Result
Craig Smith favored at 67.9%
67.9%
32.1%
Smith
Ott
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Smith
Ott
Last 5: Smith 1-4 Ott
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smith
1
0
Smith
Ott
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ott
0
3
Smith
Ott
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ott
0
1
Smith
Ott
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
Ott
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (332)
56.9% (705)
-12.0%
Power Play
38.9% (54)
55.8% (154)
-16.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
48.3% (145)
+1.7%
On power play, Ott has a +16.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ott shoots left. Smith is 43.5% vs left-shot opponents (292).
Smith shoots right. Ott is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (351).
Home / Away
Smith
Ott
Home
46.1% (167)
54.9% (526)
Away
42.5% (226)
56.1% (485)
By Period
Smith
Ott
P1
42.1%
55.4%
P2
43.4%
54.0%
P3
47.0%
56.1%
OT
50.0%
73.7%
Final 5 min
42.6%
55.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
30.0%▼
44.0%
44.0%
Ott
60.0%▲
53.0%
55.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2012 | 2 | 16:38 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Feb 19, 2012 | 1 | 19:09 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Feb 19, 2012 | 1 | 14:30 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Dec 23, 2011 | 3 | 10:27 | Offensive | Craig Smith |
| Dec 23, 2011 | 2 | 11:45 | Neutral | Steve Ott |