Scouting Report
Craig Smith holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Smith wins 45.0% vs right-shot opponents — Vanek shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 41.2% vs Vanek 41.7% (+2.8%)
Offensive zone
Smith 54.4%
Defensive zone
Vanek 50.7%
Neutral zone
Smith 52.9%
Result
Craig Smith favored at 52.2%
52.2%
47.8%
Smith
Vanek
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
Vanek
Edge
Even Strength
40.8% (1,023)
37.7% (146)
+3.1%
Power Play
39.4% (198)
36.1% (61)
+3.3%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (9)
60.0% (5)
-15.6%
On penalty kill, Vanek has a +15.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Vanek shoots right. Smith is 45.0% vs right-shot opponents (311).
Smith shoots right. Vanek is 37.3% vs right-shot opponents (67).
Home / Away
Smith
Vanek
Home
42.3% (556)
39.6% (111)
Away
39.1% (675)
35.6% (101)
By Period
Smith
Vanek
P1
39.0%
32.1%
P2
42.1%
40.9%
P3
40.2%
40.0%
OT
75.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
40.8%
38.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
30.0%▼
44.0%
40.5%
Vanek
28.0%▼
38.5%
37.7%