Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (40.5% vs 40.0%). Smith wins 39.0% vs left-shot opponents — Bertuzzi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 41.2% vs Bertuzzi 42.9% (+0.5%)
Offensive zone
Smith 51.7%
Defensive zone
Smith 51.6%
Neutral zone
Smith 52.6%
Result
Craig Smith favored at 52.0%
52.0%
48.0%
Smith
Bertuzzi
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
Bertuzzi
Edge
Even Strength
40.8% (1,023)
41.6% (202)
-0.8%
Power Play
39.4% (198)
34.1% (41)
+5.3%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (9)
0.0% (2)
+44.4%
On penalty kill, Smith has a +44.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bertuzzi shoots left. Smith is 39.0% vs left-shot opponents (920).
Smith shoots right. Bertuzzi is 36.5% vs right-shot opponents (96).
Home / Away
Smith
Bertuzzi
Home
42.3% (556)
51.2% (123)
Away
39.1% (675)
28.7% (122)
By Period
Smith
Bertuzzi
P1
39.0%
44.0%
P2
42.1%
37.8%
P3
40.2%
37.1%
OT
75.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
40.8%
40.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
30.0%▼
44.0%
40.5%
Bertuzzi
46.0%▲
41.0%
40.0%