Scouting Report
Vernon Fiddler holds a +11.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Fiddler on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 14 meetings). Smith wins 39.0% vs left-shot opponents — Fiddler shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 41.2% vs Fiddler 52.1% (-11.7%)
H2H factor
Fiddler leads 18-10 in 28 meetings
Offensive zone
Smith 96.9%
Defensive zone
Fiddler 53.6%
Neutral zone
Smith 93.4%
Result
Craig Smith favored at 70.8%
70.8%
29.2%
Smith
Fiddler
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
18
(28 meetings)
10
18
Smith
Fiddler
Last 10: Smith 4-6 Fiddler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smith
6
1
Smith
Fiddler
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fiddler
2
12
Smith
Fiddler
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fiddler
2
5
Smith
Fiddler
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
Fiddler
Edge
Even Strength
40.8% (1,023)
53.7% (4,899)
-12.9%
Power Play
39.4% (198)
50.0% (154)
-10.6%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (9)
46.9% (1,479)
-2.5%
On even strength, Fiddler has a +12.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fiddler shoots left. Smith is 39.0% vs left-shot opponents (920).
Smith shoots right. Fiddler is 51.6% vs right-shot opponents (2,195).
Home / Away
Smith
Fiddler
Home
42.3% (556)
53.1% (3,191)
Away
39.1% (675)
51.2% (3,366)
By Period
Smith
Fiddler
P1
39.0%
52.1%
P2
42.1%
52.6%
P3
40.2%
52.0%
OT
75.0%
46.0%
Final 5 min
40.8%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
30.0%▼
44.0%
40.5%
Fiddler
54.0%▼
58.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2016 | 3 | 11:24 | Offensive | Craig Smith |
| Dec 3, 2016 | 3 | 07:54 | Offensive | Craig Smith |
| Dec 3, 2016 | 2 | 09:41 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Dec 3, 2016 | 2 | 09:31 | Offensive | Craig Smith |
| Dec 3, 2016 | 2 | 02:13 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Dec 3, 2016 | 1 | 15:10 | Offensive | Craig Smith |
| Dec 3, 2016 | 1 | 03:24 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Apr 9, 2016 | 2 | 15:25 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Mar 1, 2016 | 3 | 06:04 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Mar 1, 2016 | 3 | 03:19 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Mar 1, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Vernon Fiddler |
| Mar 1, 2016 | 1 | 18:06 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Dec 31, 2015 | 1 | 17:47 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Dec 27, 2013 | 2 | 05:07 | Defensive | Craig Smith |
| Mar 12, 2013 | 3 | 19:50 | Neutral | Vernon Fiddler |
| Mar 12, 2013 | 3 | 19:36 | Offensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Mar 12, 2013 | 3 | 14:25 | Neutral | Craig Smith |
| Mar 12, 2013 | 2 | 02:20 | Neutral | Vernon Fiddler |
| Mar 12, 2013 | 2 | 02:16 | Neutral | Vernon Fiddler |
| Mar 12, 2013 | 2 | 02:02 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |