Scouting Report
Vernon Fiddler holds a +12.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Fiddler on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Smith wins 34.8% vs left-shot opponents — Fiddler shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 43.0% vs Fiddler 51.3% (-12.0%)
H2H factor
Fiddler leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Smith 96.1%
Defensive zone
Smith 70.1%
Neutral zone
Smith 87.9%
Result
Craig Smith favored at 84.2%
84.2%
15.8%
Smith
Fiddler
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
8
(10 meetings)
2
8
Smith
Fiddler
Last 10: Smith 2-8 Fiddler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Smith
Fiddler
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fiddler
0
3
Smith
Fiddler
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fiddler
1
4
Smith
Fiddler
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
Fiddler
Edge
Even Strength
37.4% (163)
56.8% (433)
-19.4%
Power Play
48.6% (37)
43.5% (23)
+5.1%
On even strength, Fiddler has a +19.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fiddler shoots left. Smith is 34.8% vs left-shot opponents (155).
Smith shoots right. Fiddler is 48.4% vs right-shot opponents (215).
Home / Away
Smith
Fiddler
Home
47.1% (68)
54.5% (301)
Away
35.6% (132)
48.7% (318)
By Period
Smith
Fiddler
P1
32.8%
55.9%
P2
42.0%
47.2%
P3
43.8%
51.9%
Final 5 min
42.2%
43.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
30.0%▼
44.0%
39.5%
Fiddler
54.0%▼
58.5%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2013 | 3 | 19:50 | Neutral | Vernon Fiddler |
| Mar 12, 2013 | 3 | 19:36 | Offensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Mar 12, 2013 | 3 | 14:25 | Neutral | Craig Smith |
| Mar 12, 2013 | 2 | 02:20 | Neutral | Vernon Fiddler |
| Mar 12, 2013 | 2 | 02:16 | Neutral | Vernon Fiddler |
| Mar 12, 2013 | 2 | 02:02 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Mar 12, 2013 | 1 | 09:30 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Mar 12, 2013 | 1 | 04:50 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Feb 25, 2013 | 1 | 19:30 | Neutral | Vernon Fiddler |
| Feb 25, 2013 | 1 | 15:29 | Offensive | Craig Smith |