Scouting Report
Vernon Fiddler holds a +17.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Fiddler on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Smith wins 30.9% vs left-shot opponents — Fiddler shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 38.2% vs Fiddler 50.7% (-17.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Smith 98.1%
Defensive zone
Smith 70.2%
Neutral zone
Smith 85.8%
Result
Craig Smith favored at 72.8%
72.8%
27.2%
Smith
Fiddler
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
6
(6 meetings)
0
6
Smith
Fiddler
Last 6: Smith 0-6 Fiddler
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fiddler
0
5
Smith
Fiddler
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fiddler
0
1
Smith
Fiddler
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
Fiddler
Edge
Even Strength
33.9% (177)
52.4% (590)
-18.5%
Power Play
30.8% (52)
48.3% (29)
-17.5%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
47.5% (278)
-47.5%
On penalty kill, Fiddler has a +47.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fiddler shoots left. Smith is 30.9% vs left-shot opponents (181).
Smith shoots right. Fiddler is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (320).
Home / Away
Smith
Fiddler
Home
37.0% (119)
51.6% (434)
Away
28.8% (111)
49.9% (463)
By Period
Smith
Fiddler
P1
37.5%
45.4%
P2
32.5%
52.1%
P3
27.3%
54.3%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
29.5%
55.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
30.0%▼
44.0%
33.0%
Fiddler
54.0%▼
58.5%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2016 | 2 | 15:25 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Mar 1, 2016 | 3 | 06:04 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Mar 1, 2016 | 3 | 03:19 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Mar 1, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Vernon Fiddler |
| Mar 1, 2016 | 1 | 18:06 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Dec 31, 2015 | 1 | 17:47 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |