Scouting Report
Vernon Fiddler holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Smith on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Smith wins 45.5% vs left-shot opponents — Fiddler shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 47.9% vs Fiddler 53.2% (-7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Smith 83.9%
Defensive zone
Fiddler 93.6%
Neutral zone
Fiddler 70.1%
Result
Craig Smith favored at 50.7%
50.7%
49.3%
Smith
Fiddler
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Smith
Fiddler
Last 7: Smith 4-3 Fiddler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smith
4
0
Smith
Fiddler
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fiddler
0
3
Smith
Fiddler
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
Fiddler
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (95)
54.7% (561)
-9.4%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
62.5% (8)
-12.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
48.3% (120)
+1.7%
On power play, Fiddler has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fiddler shoots left. Smith is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (88).
Smith shoots right. Fiddler is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (268).
Home / Away
Smith
Fiddler
Home
43.5% (62)
53.9% (308)
Away
49.0% (49)
53.5% (381)
By Period
Smith
Fiddler
P1
44.1%
53.1%
P2
46.7%
53.2%
P3
45.2%
54.8%
Final 5 min
47.6%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
30.0%▼
44.0%
45.9%
Fiddler
54.0%▼
58.5%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2016 | 3 | 11:24 | Offensive | Craig Smith |
| Dec 3, 2016 | 3 | 07:54 | Offensive | Craig Smith |
| Dec 3, 2016 | 2 | 09:41 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Dec 3, 2016 | 2 | 09:31 | Offensive | Craig Smith |
| Dec 3, 2016 | 2 | 02:13 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Dec 3, 2016 | 1 | 15:10 | Offensive | Craig Smith |
| Dec 3, 2016 | 1 | 03:24 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |