Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Glencross 50.0% vs Spezza 53.3% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spezza 81.0%
Defensive zone
Spezza 52.3%
Neutral zone
Spezza 57.3%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 61.0%
39.0%
61.0%
Glencross
Spezza
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Glencross
Spezza
Last 5: Glencross 3-2 Spezza
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Glencross
1
0
Glencross
Spezza
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Glencross
1
0
Glencross
Spezza
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
1
2
Glencross
Spezza
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Glencross
Spezza
Edge
Even Strength
60.7% (28)
53.8% (1,283)
+6.9%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
52.8% (303)
-2.8%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (39)
49.4% (89)
-5.8%
On even strength, Glencross has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spezza shoots right. Glencross is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (32).
Glencross shoots left. Spezza is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,197).
Home / Away
Glencross
Spezza
Home
42.4% (33)
56.4% (853)
Away
55.1% (49)
50.5% (847)
By Period
Glencross
Spezza
P1
59.1%
53.4%
P2
41.9%
54.2%
P3
60.9%
53.4%
OT
16.7%
44.4%
Final 5 min
39.1%
52.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Glencross
36.0%▼
44.0%
50.0%
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2011 | OT | 02:42 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 30, 2011 | OT | 02:20 | Defensive | Curtis Glencross |
| Dec 30, 2011 | 3 | 07:46 | Neutral | Curtis Glencross |
| Dec 30, 2011 | 1 | 16:54 | Offensive | Curtis Glencross |
| Nov 15, 2011 | 1 | 05:14 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |