Scouting Report
Ben Smith holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Smith on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 51.8% vs Lazar 49.2% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lazar 60.9%
Defensive zone
Smith 68.2%
Neutral zone
Smith 52.1%
Result
Ben Smith favored at 58.5%
58.5%
41.5%
Smith
Lazar
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Smith
Lazar
Last 5: Smith 4-1 Lazar
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
2
0
Smith
Lazar
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smith
2
1
Smith
Lazar
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
Lazar
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (1,269)
50.2% (2,658)
+3.5%
Power Play
55.6% (27)
52.3% (65)
+3.3%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (369)
41.9% (415)
+3.6%
On penalty kill, Smith has a +3.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lazar shoots right. Smith is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (501).
Smith shoots right. Lazar is 47.0% vs right-shot opponents (857).
Home / Away
Smith
Lazar
Home
53.8% (860)
50.1% (1,542)
Away
49.8% (805)
48.2% (1,596)
By Period
Smith
Lazar
P1
52.1%
48.9%
P2
50.2%
48.9%
P3
53.3%
49.5%
OT
62.5%
56.5%
Final 5 min
53.0%
49.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
38.0%▼
49.0%
51.9%
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2016 | 3 | 16:23 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Mar 12, 2016 | 3 | 11:11 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Mar 12, 2016 | 2 | 00:19 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Mar 12, 2016 | 1 | 04:52 | Neutral | Ben Smith |
| Mar 5, 2016 | 1 | 06:57 | Neutral | Ben Smith |