Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.7% vs 51.5%). Look for Lazar on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Point wins 45.2% vs right-shot opponents — Lazar shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 50.7% vs Lazar 51.1% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Point 80.6%
Defensive zone
Lazar 70.9%
Neutral zone
Point 59.1%
Result
Brayden Point favored at 53.1%
53.1%
46.9%
Point
Lazar
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Point
Lazar
Last 5: Point 1-4 Lazar
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
0
1
Point
Lazar
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lazar
1
3
Point
Lazar
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Lazar
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (711)
52.9% (242)
-3.0%
Power Play
56.2% (105)
100.0% (3)
-43.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
33.3% (27)
+16.7%
On power play, Lazar has a +43.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lazar shoots right. Point is 45.2% vs right-shot opponents (250).
Point shoots right. Lazar is 55.7% vs right-shot opponents (70).
Home / Away
Point
Lazar
Home
53.3% (394)
57.1% (119)
Away
48.4% (428)
47.1% (153)
By Period
Point
Lazar
P1
49.8%
53.1%
P2
53.0%
52.2%
P3
49.6%
48.8%
Final 5 min
56.9%
42.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
50.7%
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2023 | 3 | 06:35 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 18, 2023 | 1 | 04:40 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 2 | 19:29 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 2 | 16:27 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 2 | 05:44 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |