Scouting Report
David Backes holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Lazar wins 47.0% vs right-shot opponents — Backes shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 49.2% vs Backes 50.7% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backes 71.8%
Defensive zone
Backes 55.2%
Neutral zone
Backes 59.2%
Result
David Backes favored at 60.8%
39.2%
60.8%
Lazar
Backes
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Lazar
Backes
Last 6: Lazar 4-2 Backes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
2
0
Lazar
Backes
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Lazar
Backes
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Backes
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (2,658)
51.1% (5,772)
-0.9%
Power Play
52.3% (65)
50.8% (1,082)
+1.5%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (415)
47.4% (930)
-5.5%
On penalty kill, Backes has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backes shoots right. Lazar is 47.0% vs right-shot opponents (857).
Lazar shoots right. Backes is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,127).
Home / Away
Lazar
Backes
Home
50.1% (1,542)
50.6% (3,936)
Away
48.2% (1,596)
50.7% (3,895)
By Period
Lazar
Backes
P1
48.9%
50.1%
P2
48.9%
51.5%
P3
49.5%
50.8%
OT
56.5%
42.9%
Final 5 min
49.9%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
49.1%
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2016 | 3 | 01:04 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Mar 1, 2016 | 2 | 17:18 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Mar 1, 2016 | 1 | 11:11 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Mar 1, 2016 | 1 | 07:52 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 4, 2016 | 3 | 03:46 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Nov 25, 2014 | 3 | 13:52 | Defensive | David Backes |