Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.2% vs 50.3%). Look for Lazar on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 51.0% vs Krejci 50.3% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Krejci 71.3%
Defensive zone
Lazar 79.2%
Neutral zone
Lazar 54.8%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 64.7%
64.7%
35.3%
Lazar
Krejci
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Lazar
Krejci
Last 7: Lazar 4-3 Krejci
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lazar
Krejci
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
3
2
Lazar
Krejci
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Krejci
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (286)
48.8% (645)
+5.0%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
66.2% (68)
-32.9%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (72)
45.8% (24)
-4.1%
On power play, Krejci has a +32.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Krejci shoots right. Lazar is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (106).
Lazar shoots right. Krejci is 47.7% vs right-shot opponents (237).
Home / Away
Lazar
Krejci
Home
53.1% (211)
51.9% (374)
Away
48.7% (150)
48.8% (363)
By Period
Lazar
Krejci
P1
45.3%
52.2%
P2
52.8%
51.4%
P3
54.7%
47.8%
OT
60.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
58.8%
44.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
64.0%▲
58.5%
51.2%
Krejci
36.0%▼
43.5%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2019 | 2 | 07:10 | Offensive | David Krejci |
| Dec 27, 2019 | 2 | 12:40 | Defensive | David Krejci |
| Dec 27, 2019 | 2 | 07:28 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Dec 27, 2019 | 2 | 00:52 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Dec 27, 2019 | 1 | 17:55 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Dec 27, 2019 | 1 | 09:09 | Defensive | David Krejci |
| Nov 21, 2019 | 2 | 07:25 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |