Scouting Report
Curtis Lazar holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Lazar on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Lazar wins 61.6% vs left-shot opponents — Strome shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 58.1% vs Strome 58.1% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 83.0%
Defensive zone
Lazar 90.1%
Neutral zone
Lazar 59.4%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 60.6%
60.6%
39.4%
Lazar
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Lazar
Strome
Last 6: Lazar 4-2 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
0
2
Lazar
Strome
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
3
0
Lazar
Strome
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lazar
1
0
Lazar
Strome
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
63.8% (174)
56.4% (848)
+7.4%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
66.4% (295)
-66.4%
Penalty Kill
56.3% (71)
41.7% (12)
+14.6%
On power play, Strome has a +66.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots left. Lazar is 61.6% vs left-shot opponents (198).
Lazar shoots right. Strome is 54.6% vs right-shot opponents (357).
Home / Away
Lazar
Strome
Home
63.3% (128)
55.8% (616)
Away
59.3% (118)
62.2% (539)
By Period
Lazar
Strome
P1
64.6%
61.8%
P2
60.5%
54.6%
P3
59.0%
60.5%
Final 5 min
68.4%
57.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
61.4%
Strome
48.0%▼
56.5%
58.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 13:36 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 13:03 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 06:48 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 2 | 06:50 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 2 | 01:30 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 1 | 03:14 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |