Scouting Report
Jarret Stoll holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Lazar on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Lazar wins 46.8% vs right-shot opponents — Stoll shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 48.8% vs Stoll 55.0% (-6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stoll 71.4%
Defensive zone
Stoll 58.7%
Neutral zone
Stoll 63.8%
Result
Jarret Stoll favored at 64.5%
35.5%
64.5%
Lazar
Stoll
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Lazar
Stoll
Last 7: Lazar 4-3 Stoll
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lazar
Stoll
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lazar
Stoll
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lazar
2
1
Lazar
Stoll
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Stoll
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (2,623)
56.0% (4,886)
-6.2%
Power Play
52.3% (65)
56.5% (496)
-4.2%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (410)
50.7% (1,087)
-9.0%
On penalty kill, Stoll has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stoll shoots right. Lazar is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (854).
Lazar shoots right. Stoll is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,963).
Home / Away
Lazar
Stoll
Home
50.0% (1,541)
57.2% (3,285)
Away
47.6% (1,557)
53.0% (3,218)
By Period
Lazar
Stoll
P1
48.4%
54.2%
P2
48.8%
55.8%
P3
49.1%
55.3%
OT
56.5%
52.7%
Final 5 min
49.6%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
64.0%▲
58.5%
48.8%
Stoll
72.0%▲
62.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2016 | 2 | 13:34 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Mar 31, 2016 | 1 | 05:09 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Mar 15, 2016 | 2 | 07:06 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Mar 15, 2016 | 1 | 11:52 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Mar 15, 2016 | 1 | 08:42 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Dec 6, 2015 | 2 | 16:29 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Dec 11, 2014 | 1 | 00:54 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |