Scouting Report
Jay McClement holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Look for McClement on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 48.0% vs McClement 55.0% (-8.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lazar 66.4%
Defensive zone
McClement 81.0%
Neutral zone
McClement 51.5%
Result
Jay McClement favored at 58.3%
41.7%
58.3%
Lazar
McClement
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Lazar
McClement
Last 6: Lazar 3-3 McClement
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
1
0
Lazar
McClement
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lazar
McClement
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McClement
1
2
Lazar
McClement
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
McClement
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (242)
57.1% (714)
-8.3%
Power Play
83.3% (6)
51.4% (37)
+31.9%
Penalty Kill
24.0% (25)
51.0% (239)
-27.0%
On power play, Lazar has a +31.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McClement shoots left. Lazar is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (196).
Lazar shoots right. McClement is 52.3% vs right-shot opponents (350).
Home / Away
Lazar
McClement
Home
48.5% (132)
55.8% (475)
Away
46.1% (141)
55.1% (515)
By Period
Lazar
McClement
P1
47.0%
55.6%
P2
44.0%
57.3%
P3
52.9%
53.2%
OT
20.0%
54.5%
Final 5 min
51.0%
54.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
47.3%
McClement
48.0%▲
46.5%
55.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2015 | 3 | 12:19 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 16, 2015 | 3 | 09:16 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 16, 2015 | 3 | 02:33 | Neutral | Jay McClement |
| Feb 16, 2015 | 2 | 12:05 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Feb 16, 2015 | 2 | 08:11 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 16, 2015 | 2 | 08:06 | Neutral | Jay McClement |