Scouting Report
Marcel Goc holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Lazar on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 49.2% vs Goc 52.3% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Goc 59.1%
Defensive zone
Goc 51.1%
Neutral zone
Goc 51.4%
Result
Marcel Goc favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
Lazar
Goc
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Lazar
Goc
Last 5: Lazar 3-2 Goc
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Goc
0
1
Lazar
Goc
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Goc
0
1
Lazar
Goc
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lazar
3
0
Lazar
Goc
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Goc
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (2,658)
53.0% (3,301)
-2.8%
Power Play
52.3% (65)
58.0% (314)
-5.7%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (415)
47.4% (728)
-5.5%
On power play, Goc has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Goc shoots left. Lazar is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,281).
Lazar shoots right. Goc is 52.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,607).
Home / Away
Lazar
Goc
Home
50.1% (1,542)
53.9% (2,079)
Away
48.2% (1,596)
51.0% (2,296)
By Period
Lazar
Goc
P1
48.9%
51.9%
P2
48.9%
53.1%
P3
49.5%
52.4%
OT
56.5%
44.9%
Final 5 min
49.9%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
49.1%
Goc
52.0%▼
55.5%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2014 | 3 | 14:08 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Dec 6, 2014 | 2 | 18:03 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Dec 6, 2014 | 2 | 14:34 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |
| Dec 6, 2014 | 2 | 04:53 | Offensive | Marcel Goc |
| Dec 6, 2014 | 1 | 01:15 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |