Scouting Report
Mark Letestu holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Letestu on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Lazar wins 40.2% vs right-shot opponents — Letestu shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 45.0% vs Letestu 51.2% (-7.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lazar 70.6%
Defensive zone
Lazar 64.1%
Neutral zone
Lazar 67.1%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 66.1%
66.1%
33.9%
Lazar
Letestu
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Lazar
Letestu
Last 6: Lazar 1-5 Letestu
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Letestu
0
2
Lazar
Letestu
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Letestu
1
3
Lazar
Letestu
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Letestu
Edge
Even Strength
44.3% (341)
52.5% (755)
-8.2%
Power Play
46.2% (26)
53.3% (167)
-7.1%
Penalty Kill
29.4% (17)
46.3% (240)
-16.9%
On penalty kill, Letestu has a +16.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Letestu shoots right. Lazar is 40.2% vs right-shot opponents (122).
Lazar shoots right. Letestu is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (354).
Home / Away
Lazar
Letestu
Home
45.0% (202)
54.9% (554)
Away
42.3% (182)
48.0% (608)
By Period
Lazar
Letestu
P1
45.5%
50.7%
P2
43.0%
54.6%
P3
42.1%
48.4%
OT
66.7%
54.5%
Final 5 min
49.4%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
43.8%
Letestu
58.0%▲
54.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2016 | 3 | 08:42 | Neutral | Mark Letestu |
| Feb 4, 2016 | 3 | 18:33 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 4, 2016 | 2 | 03:24 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |
| Feb 4, 2016 | 1 | 10:19 | Neutral | Mark Letestu |
| Feb 4, 2016 | 1 | 07:14 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |
| Feb 4, 2016 | 1 | 05:10 | Neutral | Mark Letestu |