Scouting Report
Curtis Lazar holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Scheifele on offensive-zone draws (89% H2H, 9 meetings). Lazar wins 47.0% vs right-shot opponents — Scheifele shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 49.2% vs Scheifele 46.8% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Lazar leads 16-14 in 30 meetings
Offensive zone
Scheifele 72.1%
Defensive zone
Lazar 76.4%
Neutral zone
Lazar 50.7%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 56.7%
56.7%
43.3%
Lazar
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
14
(30 meetings)
16
14
Lazar
Scheifele
Last 10: Lazar 8-2 Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
1
8
Lazar
Scheifele
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
11
4
Lazar
Scheifele
15 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lazar
4
2
Lazar
Scheifele
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (2,658)
46.3% (12,036)
+3.9%
Power Play
52.3% (65)
50.2% (2,563)
+2.1%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (415)
41.6% (598)
+0.3%
On even strength, Lazar has a +3.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Lazar is 47.0% vs right-shot opponents (857).
Lazar shoots right. Scheifele is 44.9% vs right-shot opponents (4,377).
Home / Away
Lazar
Scheifele
Home
50.1% (1,542)
48.9% (7,644)
Away
48.2% (1,596)
44.7% (7,554)
By Period
Lazar
Scheifele
P1
48.9%
48.2%
P2
48.9%
45.6%
P3
49.5%
46.8%
OT
56.5%
42.5%
Final 5 min
49.9%
45.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
49.1%
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2025 | 1 | 16:44 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 2 | 18:10 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 1 | 10:50 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 1 | 07:01 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 1 | 06:50 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 2 | 03:07 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Mar 18, 2022 | 3 | 19:50 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Mar 18, 2022 | 3 | 19:29 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 22, 2022 | 3 | 08:38 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Mar 3, 2020 | 3 | 00:42 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 3, 2020 | 2 | 14:23 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Mar 3, 2020 | 2 | 12:29 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 3, 2020 | 2 | 04:39 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 3, 2020 | 2 | 03:12 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Mar 3, 2020 | 1 | 17:32 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 23, 2020 | 3 | 03:23 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Feb 23, 2020 | 1 | 11:44 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Feb 19, 2017 | 2 | 13:28 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 30, 2016 | 3 | 15:40 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Mar 30, 2016 | 3 | 15:20 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |