Scouting Report
Matt Cullen holds a +11.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Cullen on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Lazar wins 45.4% vs left-shot opponents — Cullen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 45.0% vs Cullen 55.2% (-11.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lazar 81.7%
Defensive zone
Cullen 51.4%
Neutral zone
Lazar 72.6%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 70.7%
70.7%
29.3%
Lazar
Cullen
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Lazar
Cullen
Last 8: Lazar 2-6 Cullen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
1
0
Lazar
Cullen
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cullen
0
1
Lazar
Cullen
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cullen
1
5
Lazar
Cullen
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Cullen
Edge
Even Strength
44.3% (341)
59.1% (783)
-14.8%
Power Play
46.2% (26)
60.7% (28)
-14.5%
Penalty Kill
29.4% (17)
43.8% (233)
-14.4%
On even strength, Cullen has a +14.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cullen shoots left. Lazar is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (262).
Lazar shoots right. Cullen is 58.4% vs right-shot opponents (380).
Home / Away
Lazar
Cullen
Home
45.0% (202)
59.0% (481)
Away
42.3% (182)
52.9% (563)
By Period
Lazar
Cullen
P1
45.5%
55.7%
P2
43.0%
53.1%
P3
42.1%
58.0%
OT
66.7%
83.3%
Final 5 min
49.4%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
43.8%
Cullen
58.0%▲
53.5%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2016 | 3 | 19:53 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |
| Apr 5, 2016 | 3 | 13:21 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |
| Apr 5, 2016 | 3 | 04:19 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |
| Apr 5, 2016 | 2 | 19:51 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Apr 5, 2016 | 2 | 07:48 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |
| Feb 2, 2016 | 3 | 17:51 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Feb 2, 2016 | 1 | 17:25 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 2, 2016 | 1 | 14:50 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |