Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.3% vs 49.4%). Look for Stajan on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 49.3% vs Stajan 49.4% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lazar 53.7%
Defensive zone
Stajan 52.7%
Neutral zone
Stajan 51.4%
Result
Matt Stajan favored at 51.4%
48.6%
51.4%
Lazar
Stajan
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Lazar
Stajan
Last 5: Lazar 1-4 Stajan
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stajan
1
4
Lazar
Stajan
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Stajan
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (2,700)
50.2% (4,944)
+0.2%
Power Play
50.0% (68)
43.2% (176)
+6.8%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (415)
46.1% (864)
-4.2%
On power play, Lazar has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stajan shoots left. Lazar is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,320).
Lazar shoots right. Stajan is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (2,026).
Home / Away
Lazar
Stajan
Home
50.3% (1,573)
51.3% (3,098)
Away
48.3% (1,610)
47.3% (2,892)
By Period
Lazar
Stajan
P1
49.0%
50.3%
P2
49.2%
48.5%
P3
49.6%
49.4%
OT
56.5%
53.3%
Final 5 min
49.9%
49.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
62.0%▬
62.5%
49.3%
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2017 | 3 | 02:01 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Feb 27, 2016 | 3 | 08:48 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Feb 27, 2016 | 2 | 10:54 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Feb 27, 2016 | 1 | 07:06 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Feb 27, 2016 | 1 | 03:51 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |